Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Beginning of Economics

Wild animals need to hunt regularly if not every single day to survive. They hunt, feast on the flesh and leave the scraps for the scavangers. They will again begin their hunting when they are hungry. They have to hunt on a regular basis to survive. Now imagine if they created a way of living wherein they hunt, they feast and then they preserve the carcass for another day or week. They would be saving a portion of the meat to be eaten on another day. Unfortunately, they have to hunt regularly to survive and saving a portion of meat for the future is not an option. The meat saved will get completely rotten and eaten by maggots or other predators would detect the smell and snatch it away. There are fews animals such as artic foxes who dig up a hole in the ground, hide the carcass and eat it some other time.

This element of 'saving' makes a massive difference in the way of life, and this is where the real economics begins. We have been able to produce large amount of grains, vegetables, fruits, crops etc, and have devised means to protect and preserve it for a longer period of time. This additional portion which is saved for future use has now become a marketable commodity. It becomes a marketable commodity because it can be exchanged with other types of commodities. Mr. A has 200 kg of wheat, and Mr B has 200 kg of rice. Mr. A can give away 100 kg of wheat in exchange of 100 kg of rice. Now both, Mr. A and Mr. B has 100 kg of wheat and 100 kg of rice. Now imagine this sort of exchange but on a much larger scale involving hundreds and thousands of people exchanging on a daily basis.

If Mr. A already had 100 kg of wheat and 100 kg of rice, he would not make any deal with Mr. B. But if Mr. A needs sugarcane and Mr. C has 100 kg of sugarcane, then Mr. A may offer some portion of wheat or rice or both to Mr. C in exchange of some sugarcane. As the need increases, more and more people enter into this market of exchange. But as the number of people entering this market increased, there came a time when exchange of commodities were not practical at all. If Mr. A needs 5 kg of mangoes and he is willing to offer 10 kg of wheat, what would happen when nobody requires any wheat. How would Mr. A acquire 5 kg of mangoes when nobody needs 10 kg of wheat? He is stuck. This the beginning of currency. A Currency has been assigned a numerical value which can be given against a commodity. If 5 kg of mangoes has the value of Rs. 400, Mr. A can arrange to give Rs. 400 to someone who has 5 kg of mangoes and is willing to give it in receipt of Rs. 400.

After this point, it was more about valuation of a particular commodity in terms of currency and not about straight exchange of two commodities. Another crucial activity began thereafter was taking a commodity today and paying the currency on a later date. And in some occasions, paying the currency today and getting the delivery of the commodity on the later date. Initially, this sort of dealing was based on trust and reputation of the concerned person in the region. Later on many different methods were devised in order to reduce the default from either party, and sometimes make the default punishable. 

Since the person's ability to acquire some commodity was based on currency, the person would want to also protect the currency from theft. Along with commodities, even the currency was required to be preserved or protected from theft or corrosion. This is when a separate place was created where currency was kept in a safe vault with proper recording of whose currency and how much has been stored, and to make it available as and when required. Banks.

As the dealings between people became more complex because of increasing needs and wants, the facilities available for such dealing also became comprehensive. Banks began to do much more than just safeguard the currency of the people. But it was never enough. Once in a while even these facilities that were formed to protect people's currency would goof up. And sometimes people would find ways to cheat the facility. Currency then had another substitute - pay cards. And now all we need is a computer and an internet connection to pay currency to anybody anyplace anytime. But now even these facilities are not free from troubles. One does not need to be physically present to steal something - hacking and phishing etc are something banks are extremely cautious about.

Today there are some of the most complex facilities available to us and some of them are unknown to many people. Now, dealings are not only face-to-face, but across continents and the buyer or the seller may not even see each other ever, before or after the transaction. Complex systems invited complex problems, and complex problems were handled with even more complex systems.

Economics has been and always be the foundation of our civilisation. Without economics, we cannot survive a single day. How we began our civilisation by simple straightfoward exchange of commodities because of the ability to save for future use and how somebody else's requirements of something can indirectly fulfil our requirements of something else. We can transact with anybody around the globe. Needs and wants of people are not so difficult to be met. If there is a want of a commodity or some sort of assistance, you will find dozens of sellers.  

If you want to understand economics in its true sense, then try to look at the people's needs and wants from a seller's point of view.

The next post will be on the motives of a seller or "seller's economics".....


Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Uncertainty

Uncertainty is as old as universe itself. It was never certain that amongst billions of stars, there will be one particular star that will give birth to formation of planets and will revolve around that star, and one amongst those planets will undergo a catastrophic celestial hammering for millions of years to create an atmosphere for life to sustain. That same level of uncertainty prevails today and will be forever. 

After billions of years of atmospheric turmoil, planet Earth became suitable for life to flourish on a gigantic proportion. We have discovered many facts about the beginning of evolution of various species on Earth, and how we reached to the present day of evolution. We have invented many things to further our civilisation and technology. And we have also fought great wars killing millions of people. 

Economic system was developed thousands of years ago, and it went through hundreds and thousands of changes to bring the economic system as is prevailing today. We sure know that our economic system is still in a state of transformation. We have known great economic depressions, political conspiracies, natural calamity causing great starvation and poverty, and also great battles to conquer lands and now even terrorism.

Study of history shows that there was never a period where we have felt certain about future. We have either tried to know the future intuitively, or with mathematical equations, or used occult science, but our accuracy has never been perfect. However, as our standard of living improved exponentially due to the advent of electricity, computers and telecommunications, we are habituated to believe that future can be known and it is known by knowing what we really want. We think our future depends on what we want.

If you say you would want to earn loads of money, you will believe that it is possible. We do not quantify how much money; we only aim for lots of money and we take all the steps needed to get lots of money. This attitude has been so much ingrained within our nature that the need to stop and humbly look at the invincible power of uncertainty does not cross our mind until we experience an unprecedented failure causing all our dreams, ambitions, desires and hopes to collapse.

It is only when we fail, shattering all our hopes, ambitions and desires, we realise how ignorant we are to have unknowingly raged a battle against uncertainty. We think what we receive in our life depends on how much efforts we put. It is not completely true. It is obviously a bitter truth that even with collosal efforts, we can lose/fail.

What is the solution? Acceptance. Accept that future is uncertain. It cannot be known and it cannot be made also. After forcibly observing the daily events of our life passing by without any interference of our wishes or control, we begin to experience a strange kind of inner peace. Beware; before this inner peace emerges, a violent and obstinate will-power will fight ferociously to be in control. We cannot lose control because losing control is losing life itself. And as long as we hang on tightly to this control, there will be hope, and this hope will sooner or later be completely anniliated by the all pervasive uncertainty. Lose this control, and win over the indescribable inner peace.

It is hard to believe that losing control over life will actually bring peaceful control over ourselves. All the events that once caused anger, jealously, insecurity and hatred, will no longer be felt by us. The events of life will pass by, and we will remain in our inner peace, and continue to do our daily chores. This uncertainty does not care about our likes/dislikes, our hopes, and dreams. It never did. But we have fought this uncertainty for thousands of years only to accept defeat in the end. And when we lose, that's when change takes place opening the doors to real happiness.

The most unfortunate is we cannot begin to believe in this inner peace until our hopes are smashed by uncertainity, our life turns upside down, and we choose to submit, surrender and forgive instead of getting more violent, aggressive and revengeful. We all have been choosing to get more aggressive and also feeling an increasing need of peace in our life. The more we run after what we want, further it goes away leaving us starving for little bit of peace and relief. The only way is to choose surrender/forgiveness, and experience the inner peace. Believe that this inner peace will show us a better way. Don't run, just wait and observe.

Now we have begun our financial planning education by understanding the amazing results of "Letting Go". Because, financial planning is about knowing what is right for us and not what we want.

The next blog will discuss the amazingly simple facts of economics........so keep in touch.